TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Liaoning Tieren FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,299 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Beijing Guoan FC69c8,492$5,869 inLost-$5,868.9719340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Liaoning Tieren FC30c3,442$1,019 inWon+$2,423.141,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Beijing Guoan FC60c1,888$1,129 inLost-$1,128.932,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Beijing Guoan FC28c1,644$455 inLost-$455.2742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Guoan FC56c1,541$857 inLost-$856.565,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Liaoning Tieren FC46c1,522$700 inWon+$821.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Beijing Guoan FC52c1,294$673 inLost-$672.633834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Liaoning Tieren FC50c1,200$594 inWon+$605.991,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liaoning Tieren FC30c936$281 inWon+$655.22,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Liaoning Tieren FC48c780.87$375 inWon+$405.41,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Beijing Guoan FC51c581.33$296 inLost-$296.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Liaoning Tieren FC46c434.78$200 inWon+$234.7821144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Guoan FC60c433.08$262 inLost-$261.972,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Liaoning Tieren FC48c312.5$150 inWon+$162.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Liaoning Tieren FC53c299.91$160 inWon+$139.4611839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Liaoning Tieren FC52c249.97$130 inWon+$119.9853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Beijing Guoan FC48c247.45$119 inLost-$118.696349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Beijing Guoan FC25c234.35$58 inLost-$57.741,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Beijing Guoan FC49c204.08$100 inLost-$10014144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liaoning Tieren FC25c200$50 inWon+$15069352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Liaoning Tieren FC48c200$96 inWon+$1048928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Liaoning Tieren FC48c199.99$96 inWon+$10410158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Beijing Guoan FC52c192.31$100 inLost-$10014047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Guoan FC52c155.36$80 inLost-$80.161,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Beijing Guoan FC48c98.43$48 inLost-$47.6174739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Beijing Guoan FC64c93.75$60 inLost-$608265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Liaoning Tieren FC50c69.99$35 inWon+$34.9414744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Beijing Guoan FC48c41.67$20 inLost-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Liaoning Tieren FC31c40$12 inWon+$27.612742.5%54 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Liaoning Tieren FC77c32$25 inWon+$7.367762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liaoning Tieren FC51c30.1$15 inWon+$14.841,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Liaoning Tieren FC48c28.13$14 inWon+$14.635250%26 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.