TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thiago Seyboth Wildof Thiago Seyboth Wild, Juan Manuel La Serna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c23,936$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,90042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Juan Manuel La Serna31c11,107$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Seyboth Wild68c8,920$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.638,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…37a7backed Juan Manuel La Serna37c8,226$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Manuel La Serna11c8,143$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.574,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild72c6,321$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.274,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c5,638$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.552339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna12c3,096$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.544936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Thiago Seyboth Wild67c2,837$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.963,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Juan Manuel La Serna13c2,754$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel La Serna11c2,688$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Thiago Seyboth Wild65c2,353$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.972,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Juan Manuel La Serna5c1,927$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7114134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thiago Seyboth Wild70c1,660$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild74c1,645$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6130847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Manuel La Serna21c1,146$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.312,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Juan Manuel La Serna17c1,050$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.411637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Thiago Seyboth Wild75c1,010$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.383,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Juan Manuel La Serna35c685.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna2c580$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild69c548.62$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.546,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Juan Manuel La Serna3c542.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Juan Manuel La Serna21c520.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6513852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna3c509.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thiago Seyboth Wild79c500$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.959,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…54dabacked Juan Manuel La Serna38c428.66$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Manuel La Serna28c336.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Thiago Seyboth Wild72c318.1$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.142,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Manuel La Serna11c304.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.566,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c300.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Juan Manuel La Serna10c290.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3373951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c281.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna14c275$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.971,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Juan Manuel La Serna14c264.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Juan Manuel La Serna36c232.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8525448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3391754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Juan Manuel La Serna14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822048.6%107 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Thiago Seyboth Wild69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Thiago Seyboth Wild61c198.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.652,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Juan Manuel La Serna26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna12c182.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Juan Manuel La Serna26c171.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Thiago Seyboth Wild72c155.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4870456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad3…63c2backed Thiago Seyboth Wild73c153.67$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Juan Manuel La Serna26c139.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5344949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna32c137.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.652,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna21c136.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0521447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Thiago Seyboth Wild70c135.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Manuel La Serna30c135.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.581,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Juan Manuel La Serna30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Thiago Seyboth Wild77c131.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.846,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Juan Manuel La Serna31c119.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3124446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Manuel La Serna34c112.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.531,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Manuel La Serna14c107.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Juan Manuel La Serna28c107.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Juan Manuel La Serna38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025448.4%123 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Juan Manuel La Serna29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Thiago Seyboth Wild74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3539469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Juan Manuel La Serna18c93.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c87.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.291,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c87.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.131,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Thiago Seyboth Wild73c82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Thiago Seyboth Wild60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Thiago Seyboth Wild75c72.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1247251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c70.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Manuel La Serna29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Manuel La Serna25c68.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.153,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna28c65.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.484,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Thiago Seyboth Wild75c62.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3813754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Juan Manuel La Serna35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Juan Manuel La Serna28c52.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Juan Manuel La Serna42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Juan Manuel La Serna42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7448152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild70c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Juan Manuel La Serna34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Juan Manuel La Serna35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Thiago Seyboth Wild54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.435349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Thiago Seyboth Wild76c32.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8715864.6%102 W · 56 L-0.8wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild55c26.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8462549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f0…b56fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild65c21.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild70c21.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4924748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Thiago Seyboth Wild72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.565556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Thiago Seyboth Wild67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild75c19.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9216258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild71c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5831657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild70c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd98c…a59bbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Thiago Seyboth Wild71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3519064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.