MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46dfc981a07f588bfd0e42739bccc0c2a0a67a48e68b2946e0447866f0c8264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 51c | 72,394$36,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,473.07 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 50c | 49,855$24,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,927.48 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 31,539$15,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,651 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 23,966$11,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 14,704$7,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 12,052$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 49c | 11,164$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.57 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 8,807$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 7,746$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 49c | 3,541$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.29 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,459$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,608$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.77 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,024$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 692.68$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Under | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 631.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 528.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 452.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 49c | 418.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 49c | 410.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 49c | 385.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 50c | 362.12$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 34c | 346.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 329.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 49c | 301.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 51c | 295.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 276.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 273$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e4…11f2backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 40c | 222.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 193.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 169.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 155.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 49c | 155.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 62c | 129.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 49c | 119.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 49c | 110.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 49c | 78.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 79c | 64.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 49c | 62.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 61.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 58.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 49c | 47.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 26c | 44.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 44.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 50c | 40.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 48c | 34.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 68c | 32.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 69c | 31.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 49c | 31.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 30.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 79c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9986backed Under | 50c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…1af4backed Over | 50c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.