Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f8489853ded351394aab0abc31e223a840a758ced0fde67e88698276f9fb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 2,089$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.5 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 77c | 1,280$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,066$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 41c | 722.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.27 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 573.96$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 449.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 332.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 253.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 40c | 228.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 214.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 180.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 121.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 21c | 56.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 49.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Over | 53c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 36.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 60c | 22.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.