Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d99757e00f6fa45421455e129e9d7b8723bfa7e6b99138693b07ea7803c2cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d9…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 10,040$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 25c | 7,984$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 4,064$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 3,414$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.41 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Over | 63c | 3,060$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 1,398$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…ad8cbacked Under | 39c | 512.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 57c | 208$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 201.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed Over | 60c | 93.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 92.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 62c | 62.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 46.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 41.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…04efbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed Over | 57c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…4aa6backed Over | 75c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 62c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…554cbacked Over | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.