CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d2c05cc217897219716cec79ebaa0d2f0c75e17cfa238469e04b7865d88739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof HyperSpirit, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 8,973$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 8,286$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked HyperSpirit | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed HyperSpirit | 5c | 1,350$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed HyperSpirit | 9c | 1,200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked HyperSpirit | 9c | 950$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked HyperSpirit | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked CSDIILIT | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 378.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 290.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed CSDIILIT | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed CSDIILIT | 51c | 245.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed HyperSpirit | 26c | 237.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked HyperSpirit | 71c | 228.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed HyperSpirit | 69c | 209$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 204$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed CSDIILIT | 78c | 163.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 142.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed CSDIILIT | 59c | 137.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CSDIILIT | 58c | 134.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 122$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed HyperSpirit | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked CSDIILIT | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…e7bfbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 97.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed CSDIILIT | 60c | 84.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked HyperSpirit | 57c | 81.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed HyperSpirit | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 70.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…3f91backed CSDIILIT | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed HyperSpirit | 76c | 51.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 47.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…01afbacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 45.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed HyperSpirit | 62c | 40.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed HyperSpirit | 61c | 30.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…acadbacked CSDIILIT | 75c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3) CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.