CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d8439b9971b428da4d34bef599445e9a97b05ae9fabbd8716da8c1d64999b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed CSDIILIT | 62c | 1,140$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.09 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT | 21c | 994.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 716.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 310$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 215$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…8b62backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 124.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked CSDIILIT | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked CSDIILIT | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked CSDIILIT | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 78.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT | 42c | 59.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 59.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 54.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed CSDIILIT | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…bb88backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3) CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.