TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

UD Las Palmas vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea93…d9bdbacked Under44c227$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under59c194$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.543557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c159$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.87447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c104.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c89.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.181,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over80c82.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.394353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over43c74.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.147250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under42c32.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.647156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Over41c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…561abacked Over72c20.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.