TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Cowboys, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$597,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$598,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Cowboys49c203,000$99,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,4708747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Chargers51c163,204$83,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,201.3627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Cowboys49c154,915$76,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,222.3311145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Chargers51c60,983$31,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,881.5616955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Chargers51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,50011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cowboys52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers48c48,716$23,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,334.6486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Cowboys49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9311168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9c0f…7b84backed Cowboys50c23,892$11,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,945.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Chargers50c18,888$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,44410442.3%44 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Chargers51c12,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys49c10,200$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99824957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Chargers51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4506645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chargers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cowboys50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50011750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Chargers50c4,477$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Cowboys50c4,476$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Cowboys50c4,196$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Chargers50c4,196$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Cowboys50c4,099$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed Chargers50c4,099$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e1…4976backed Cowboys50c4,074$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.11050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d7…7cf1backed Chargers50c4,074$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Chargers50c3,615$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Cowboys50c3,615$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…6859backed Chargers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab8…753bbacked Cowboys50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed4…9d5cbacked Cowboys50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2ca8backed Chargers51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Cowboys52c2,410$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2534934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Cowboys50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Chargers66c2,114$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.537164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Chargers50c2,079$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.54641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Chargers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Chargers51c1,840$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.2554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys49c1,634$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.6677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Chargers52c1,381$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.775766.7%38 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Chargers63c1,357$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.145042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys49c1,307$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.931,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Chargers51c1,043$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.964259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Chargers51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x841d…3ea0backed Cowboys63c825.63$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Chargers51c784.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.867052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Cowboys53c624.53$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chargers41c605.32$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Chargers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chargers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cowboys49c499.92$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Cowboys50c411.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8912850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Chargers49c408.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.334734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Chargers51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Chargers51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613935.3%49 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chargers50c317.43$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Chargers51c313.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.735947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Cowboys64c311.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.217661.8%47 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Chargers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1478650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Chargers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Cowboys52c208.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.343455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Chargers51c206.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Cowboys49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Cowboys50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda58…00e9backed Cowboys50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Chargers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0817548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Cowboys52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Chargers51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.752560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Chargers51c163.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1510256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Chargers51c162.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.710252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Chargers49c134.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.789442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Chargers49c120.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2936341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys42c118.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Chargers51c116.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7424547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Cowboys54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477b…1dd3backed Chargers48c103$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Cowboys49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Cowboys49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Chargers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Chargers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Cowboys50c99.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x636f…819fbacked Cowboys51c95.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Chargers53c94.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6419954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe928…3b65backed Cowboys50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Chargers50c66.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.093557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Chargers51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.945341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Chargers48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…6388backed Cowboys50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2efb…a04ebacked Chargers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Chargers52c46.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cowboys44c44.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Cowboys49c44.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.872437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…9b88backed Chargers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Cowboys50c38.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32015%3 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Cowboys52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf7f…0b18backed Chargers51c37.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cowboys38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Chargers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Chargers51c28.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.843070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x45c9…3fecbacked Chargers51c26.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Chargers50c24.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0920944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.