College Football · resolved market
New Mexico State vs. UTEP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbaac5a0429aeb50164eba5d85e6f57c07e0b10511c136bbe8da223f4b503fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Stateof New Mexico State, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed UTEP | 53c | 23,826$12,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,618.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State | 48c | 10,586$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.43 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked New Mexico State | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UTEP | 0c | 6,864$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTEP | 61c | 5,232$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New Mexico State | 52c | 4,609$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.65 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UTEP | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.58 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UTEP | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State | 54c | 3,870$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.46 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed UTEP | 63c | 3,302$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.35 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked UTEP | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed New Mexico State | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed New Mexico State | 24c | 2,145$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.3 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed New Mexico State | 40c | 1,761$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.57 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked New Mexico State | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico State | 47c | 1,497$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.31 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico State | 47c | 1,334$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.02 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico State | 37c | 1,329$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.27 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State | 37c | 1,162$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.56 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State | 79c | 1,088$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.89 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed New Mexico State | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UTEP | 60c | 836$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UTEP | 28c | 798.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed UTEP | 59c | 643$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked UTEP | 9c | 624.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked New Mexico State | 37c | 601.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UTEP | 43c | 578.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed New Mexico State | 40c | 414$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed New Mexico State | 77c | 401.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked UTEP | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New Mexico State | 30c | 345.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UTEP | 60c | 332$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked New Mexico State | 31c | 318.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UTEP | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed New Mexico State | 39c | 297.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed UTEP | 28c | 269.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Mexico State | 38c | 265.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UTEP | 52c | 256.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…9a9dbacked UTEP | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed New Mexico State | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UTEP | 60c | 210.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…1be2backed UTEP | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed New Mexico State | 9c | 199.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed UTEP | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed UTEP | 73c | 192.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…9ad2backed UTEP | 8c | 183.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…adcdbacked New Mexico State | 9c | 180$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…9a58backed New Mexico State | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State | 45c | 151$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…5accbacked New Mexico State | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa3…951abacked New Mexico State | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked UTEP | 19c | 103.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…5fe4backed New Mexico State | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked New Mexico State | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed New Mexico State | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…c360backed UTEP | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed New Mexico State | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8f3fbacked New Mexico State | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed New Mexico State | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed New Mexico State | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…447ebacked UTEP | 23c | 73.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed New Mexico State | 47c | 71.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico State | 36c | 70.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed UTEP | 57c | 58.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed New Mexico State | 43c | 51.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed New Mexico State | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…1cb6backed UTEP | 64c | 39.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…8761backed New Mexico State | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…a287backed New Mexico State | 37c | 35.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed New Mexico State | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked UTEP | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…d4dbbacked New Mexico State | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed UTEP | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed UTEP | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…3040backed New Mexico State | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed New Mexico State | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked New Mexico State | 57c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed UTEP | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed New Mexico State | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State vs. UTEPthis page
- O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: UTEP (-3.5)New Mexico State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.