TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Canadiens, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba5a…344cbacked Canadiens50c6,751$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.6612152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens16c6,088$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.678845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers50c3,320$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.172,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flyers50c1,996$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.732,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Flyers56c1,838$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.6517761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens49c1,813$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.071,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens40c1,561$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.21,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Flyers61c1,159$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Flyers51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Canadiens6c1,075$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Canadiens12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.034148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Flyers56c1,001$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.439545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Flyers60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.45455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flyers61c899.99$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35162346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Flyers61c858.8$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0811152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flyers68c841.4$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.061,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers62c786.95$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.132,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens41c678.36$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Canadiens41c658.62$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2719050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Canadiens39c617.39$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3720756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens39c593.65$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens40c429.61$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8533554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens41c413.32$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.711,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Canadiens50c383.35$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Flyers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e46…f868backed Canadiens33c291.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.971844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Canadiens41c247.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Canadiens41c232.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Canadiens41c226.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.755444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Canadiens41c226.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7519657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Canadiens41c226.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7519150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Canadiens41c226.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7510058%58 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Canadiens41c226.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7515051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Canadiens41c226.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.753852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Canadiens42c224.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.757357.5%42 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Canadiens34c214.12$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens41c213.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Canadiens44c206.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3819759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens52c199.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Flyers51c192.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.414955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Canadiens44c189.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3511852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers76c147.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Canadiens14c135.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Canadiens36c135$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Flyers64c123.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Flyers64c122.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0381157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Flyers64c119.07$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3532353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43fb…d609backed Canadiens41c116.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Flyers50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Canadiens43c111.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2812358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Flyers60c110.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5521560.9%131 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Canadiens44c110.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.316054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Canadiens44c110.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36256.5%35 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Flyers50c100.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3127049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Canadiens15c94.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.792540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…8680backed Flyers52c93.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.752548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flyers60c82.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1854260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Flyers64c81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1618453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Flyers66c81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Canadiens42c77.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7411054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Flyers51c77.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Flyers51c76.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.319141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Flyers59c70.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Flyers52c65.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3840162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Flyers63c63.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5223063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Canadiens46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.034845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Flyers52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8916959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Canadiens43c55.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1416454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Flyers51c50.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5527659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Flyers63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7543250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Flyers58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Canadiens50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2513547.4%64 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Canadiens41c45.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7847024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Flyers68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.084065%26 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Canadiens32c42.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.516940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Canadiens33c40.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Flyers51c39.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.174961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Flyers69c36.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.463452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Canadiens28c36.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Flyers60c34.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6669061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b98…2919backed Flyers60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Flyers67c32.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.686043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Flyers64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0122763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Flyers64c30.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd1…2df7backed Canadiens51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.565657.1%32 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Flyers55c24.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0124346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Canadiens42c24.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Canadiens45c23.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7742948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Flyers60c23.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.456134.4%21 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21b7…6834backed Canadiens46c22.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flyers60c22.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1136561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Flyers52c20.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Flyers65c18.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5111159.5%66 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Flyers64c18.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.697354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Flyers80c17.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.