NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612cd329aefd4ed8c2cbb45a0115c515524b3d955690448f385cb409f27c1e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Jazz, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Jazz | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Jazz | 16c | 5,171$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.52 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 18c | 4,509$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.33 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 5c | 4,384$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 14c | 2,154$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.08 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Jazz | 2c | 1,591$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 1c | 1,444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 19c | 1,148$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Jazz | 18c | 1,137$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…3031backed Jazz | 17c | 1,067$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Jazz | 6c | 887.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 2c | 750.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 11c | 653.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Jazz | 18c | 552.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Jazz | 15c | 314.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…95d3backed Jazz | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Jazz | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz | 7c | 185.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Jazz | 16c | 161.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Jazz | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…eb4bbacked Jazz | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Jazz | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Jazz | 15c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Jazz | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Jazz | 17c | 93.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…2cecbacked Jazz | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09dc…7160backed Jazz | 16c | 90.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…de17backed Jazz | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 86 | 73.3%63 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…9519backed Jazz | 17c | 67.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed Jazz | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.