TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccf2…41b7backed Hornets78c27,230$21,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,981.8311459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets17c17,551$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,567.0213920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Pacers79c17,499$13,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,763.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pacers76c16,110$12,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,250.8915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers56c9,136$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Hornets21c7,149$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,649.0447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets17c7,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pacers46c6,259$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.7663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets57c5,324$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.9870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hornets18c5,033$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.6819137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers25c4,987$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets16c4,925$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.041,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers57c3,332$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.851,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets60c2,816$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers3c2,798$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.718518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers41c2,199$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets18c2,006$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6451,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Hornets17c1,900$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57215234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers11c1,726$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.811,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets64c1,675$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Hornets57c1,656$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.19735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets16c1,500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Hornets30c1,490$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.595658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Hornets23c1,461$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets28c1,400$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00825833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Hornets17c1,265$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets20c1,248$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.7627939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pacers1c1,207$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets27c1,148$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.7926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pacers78c1,097$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.9329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets30c1,081$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0845135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pacers70c1,040$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Pacers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Hornets20c908.29$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2911428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Hornets18c804.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.541435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Pacers43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Hornets17c660.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Hornets27c604.65$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.654341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Hornets24c600.01$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0112657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets15c576.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7111143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…04b6backed Hornets17c529.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c5…d389backed Hornets17c529.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Hornets40c509.24$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0711249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Pacers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pacers18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Hornets18c496.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.495820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Hornets24c459.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.813568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f75…1143backed Hornets17c440$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+366.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc0…4da8backed Hornets23c436.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.782245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Pacers70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Hornets24c424.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Hornets17c400$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3324835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Hornets29c349.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.845038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hornets17c322.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5536423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Hornets16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.56030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Pacers69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Hornets18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24618628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d2d…569cbacked Hornets61c286.74$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.742268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f7…a0b8backed Hornets28c235.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers6c232$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed Hornets33c229.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.026431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hornets23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3938132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Pacers37c214.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.236744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Hornets43c213.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.185358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Pacers67c201.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hornets16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16822053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Pacers42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pacers77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pacers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Hornets24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6387…d1c2backed Hornets29c167.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.491631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers61c167.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Hornets23c150$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11648741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hornets33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa319…bd72backed Hornets42c147.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Hornets69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets25c140.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.651,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Hornets17c136.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.556426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d5…41aebacked Hornets17c130$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2689…0e09backed Hornets17c129.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Hornets17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.655438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b43…ffa3backed Hornets17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Hornets17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6510147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…1b79backed Hornets17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d86…13babacked Hornets54c116.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Hornets23c115.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9919650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Hornets62c114.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.585856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Hornets38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Pacers72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Hornets34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.743145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7822721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Hornets16c93.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.752138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffb2…2bc8backed Pacers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…d52fbacked Hornets17c85.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Hornets36c81.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1414941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Hornets17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.877437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fb…38a5backed Hornets17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+84.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787d…4083backed Hornets17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+263.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.