World Politics · resolved market
Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f0aaf89c88d267cec8f1677daecf1cd213fbb74e4b71f812465c36b11fd6c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 21,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 9,864$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 0c | 6,240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed No | 2c | 1,992$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 1,433$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…efa1backed No | 5c | 1,417$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 10c | 495.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 444.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 54c | 429.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…e3ebbacked Yes | 56c | 354.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…7389backed No | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…87a5backed Yes | 55c | 93.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 54c | 57.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b0…7835backed Yes | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…e2b5backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 62c | 39.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…91c2backed No | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…ded4backed Yes | 70c | 31.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…9fc5backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?this page
- WIll Christos Rammos be next Greek President?No won
- Will Evangelos Venizelos be next Greek President?No won
- Will Katerina Sakellaropoulou be next Greek President?No won
- Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?No won
- Will Kostas Kyriakou be next Greek President?No won
- Will Lina Mendoni be next Greek President?No won
- Will Louka T. Katseli be next Greek President?No won
- Will Maria Damanaki be next Greek President?No won
- Will Nikos Konstantopoulos be next Greek President?No won
- Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.