World Politics · resolved market
Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9a5164dc45cc0c4081f476daab13c85305b535bce1114015dc7ee6e695fe673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 8,768$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.97 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…ffb6backed Yes | 0c | 3,774$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…d2f9backed Yes | 12c | 2,107$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 63c | 1,774$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…04d4backed No | 78c | 910.23$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 62c | 678.76$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 581.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed No | 77c | 500.83$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 32c | 353.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 37c | 308$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 34c | 210$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 29c | 159.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…9865backed No | 69c | 148.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes | 38c | 146.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…3864backed Yes | 77c | 138.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…91c2backed Yes | 12c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…e2eabacked No | 71c | 112.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 37c | 101.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 48c | 97.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…bf6fbacked Yes | 28c | 96.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 19c | 80.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…86b5backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 37c | 54.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ab46backed Yes | 66c | 45.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…8733backed Yes | 49c | 45.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…85ebbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Yes | 41c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…715cbacked Yes | 49c | 27.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…a121backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?this page
- WIll Christos Rammos be next Greek President?No won
- Will Evangelos Venizelos be next Greek President?No won
- Will Katerina Sakellaropoulou be next Greek President?No won
- Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?No won
- Will Kostas Kyriakou be next Greek President?No won
- Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?Yes won
- Will Lina Mendoni be next Greek President?No won
- Will Louka T. Katseli be next Greek President?No won
- Will Maria Damanaki be next Greek President?No won
- Will Nikos Konstantopoulos be next Greek President?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.