TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Trail Blazers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers74c34,085$25,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,993.2915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Trail Blazers14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers78c9,672$7,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.891,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers18c7,580$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.1965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers35c7,004$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Trail Blazers1c5,800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers12c5,171$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.6619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers22c3,949$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.351,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…6c34backed Trail Blazers40c3,927$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers24c3,649$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.741,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers32c3,245$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.3870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers77c2,484$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.5177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Trail Blazers20c2,032$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.663345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Trail Blazers29c1,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Lakers80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3508144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Trail Blazers34c1,600$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54023548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Trail Blazers23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers22c1,457$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers20c1,433$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ed…d8b1backed Trail Blazers11c1,366$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.82810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Trail Blazers20c1,360$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27611143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Trail Blazers14c1,300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18618044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers21c1,194$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Trail Blazers22c1,190$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1823646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Lakers54c1,087$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.95820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers4c1,057$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.431,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Trail Blazers46c1,054$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5337954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers28c1,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Lakers80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Trail Blazers23c999.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Trail Blazers34c907.17$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4725833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Lakers76c875.25$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.067346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Lakers71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.523833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…24b0backed Trail Blazers24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Trail Blazers20c721.23$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4911150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db4…487abacked Lakers67c683.72$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Trail Blazers24c600$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Trail Blazers29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Lakers76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…46aebacked Trail Blazers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Trail Blazers19c459.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b43…ffa3backed Trail Blazers27c423.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers25c410.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Lakers74c406.78$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7634169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Lakers73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10819943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Lakers75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Trail Blazers23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Trail Blazers48c396.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.469052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Trail Blazers18c386.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lakers76c372.33$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3611662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers24c370.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Trail Blazers18c346.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.736738.8%26 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Trail Blazers22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Trail Blazers20c314$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.217244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Trail Blazers37c270.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Trail Blazers26c264.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19dd…2cffbacked Lakers68c262.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.081250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Lakers76c253.56$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers71c249.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Trail Blazers20c246.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3714941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers38c246.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Trail Blazers33c243.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4919350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…6aa3backed Trail Blazers9c229.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c5f5backed Lakers60c210.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers77c202.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Trail Blazers23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Trail Blazers7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Trail Blazers29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Trail Blazers21c166.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9717846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Trail Blazers29c165$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.722955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…4118backed Lakers74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Trail Blazers28c150.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8184957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Trail Blazers23c149.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a39…5077backed Trail Blazers23c148.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Trail Blazers21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Lakers77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.221649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Lakers80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256167.2%41 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Trail Blazers24c122.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Lakers55c120.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Trail Blazers26c119.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers23c119.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Trail Blazers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Trail Blazers17c110.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.987021.4%15 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers19c108.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d5…41aebacked Trail Blazers24c108$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d2…49cebacked Lakers76c108$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+108.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers21c106.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8777437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Trail Blazers23c106.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d45…dfffbacked Trail Blazers24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Trail Blazers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Lakers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Lakers77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32a2…1e8abacked Lakers78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216651.8%86 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4968…9519backed Trail Blazers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Lakers70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Trail Blazers21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Lakers79c99.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216942%29 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.