South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89ad7f4c6804972ae780366edd1c21fb06572e994ca34cda67a8650b041ecaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 64c | 33,917$21,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,246.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 7,439$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.04 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 24c | 7,019$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 7,000$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.49 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 6,476$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.17 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 73c | 5,666$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.53 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 5,377$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.7 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 66c | 4,874$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.37 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 3,406$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.8 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 3,120$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.96 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 3,020$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.4 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 36c | 2,798$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.19 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 36c | 2,578$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.66 | 205 | 49.3%101 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 77c | 1,843$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.1 | 137 | 73%100 W · 37 L | +21.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 36c | 1,620$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 57c | 1,434$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.55 | 416 | 41.1%171 W · 245 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed No | 24c | 1,395$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…5f21backed No | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 72c | 1,338$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 66c | 1,096$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.74 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 5c | 1,096$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 31c | 1,066$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 990.04$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 22c | 971.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 16c | 921.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 860.03$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 34c | 817.52$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 690.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…d2a0backed Yes | 62c | 648.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 61c | 587.43$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 323 | 35.9%116 W · 207 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…4c18backed No | 44c | 586.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 552$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 36c | 540.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 66c | 532.02$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 326 | 40.2%131 W · 195 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed Yes | 75c | 487.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 10c | 474.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 36c | 468.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed No | 6c | 463.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Yes | 65c | 452.23$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 67c | 449.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 57c | 449.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked No | 24c | 424.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 64c | 379.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 350.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 69c | 329.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 34c | 326.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 55c | 320.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked No | 30c | 304.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 68c | 298.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 293.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 34c | 274.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 42c | 272.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 253.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 783 | 51%399 W · 384 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 226$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 225$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 222.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 70c | 217.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 209.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 35c | 198.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 36c | 190.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 296 | 38.2%113 W · 183 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 177 | 50.3%89 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…bda4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…63a7backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 55c | 138.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 64c | 138.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 36c | 136.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 58c | 128.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 123.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 80c | 120.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed No | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 37c | 119.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 68c | 118.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 66c | 116.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Yes | 65c | 114.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 71c | 113.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 450 | 46.2%208 W · 242 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 54c | 112$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 35c | 110.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 37c | 108.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed No | 36c | 107.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 445 | 61.6%274 W · 171 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 99.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 63c | 98.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-18?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.