South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42df5feebff2940c418e8fee9cff43fb750a9dab89a3bd69d5dd933828450240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 3,457$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.01 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed Yes | 8c | 2,452$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 66c | 1,969$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.45 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,672$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 1,143$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.07 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 77c | 802.05$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 9c | 782.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 717.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 21c | 581.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 78c | 515.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 507.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 70c | 500.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 453.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 407.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 23c | 322.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 205 | 49.3%101 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 299.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 71c | 285.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Yes | 12c | 267.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 23c | 185.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 157.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 23c | 126.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 106.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 104.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 24c | 104.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Yes | 22c | 76.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 73.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 73.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 445 | 61.6%274 W · 171 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…527abacked Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…6b23backed Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 26c | 62.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 23c | 58.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 48.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…7c41backed Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…254fbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Yes | 34c | 42.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 35c | 40.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…4d7abacked No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 36.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…9cc4backed No | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 78c | 33.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…1428backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3898…c9c7backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…fa71backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…7e42backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 76c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…f7a9backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…1d99backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-18?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.