Token Launches · resolved market
Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ea08520cb489997b11f1416556600187848588f4839fbd6e1bdbefe29f6f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 40c | 520$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | +19.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…e487backed Yes | 59c | 505$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 45c | 406.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 50c | 144.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 47c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…1d2bbacked No | 80c | 114.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 36c | 35.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?this page
- Over $1M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
- Over $3M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
- Over $750k pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.