Token Launches · resolved market
Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a2dc8335f401b0e4ec18d6c2aacb00721e9564b942ed0f1febc37306f3319e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460b…9894backed Yes | 1c | 2,067$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 26c | 649.09$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 13c | 355.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 76c | 315.02$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…b066backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…7f7dbacked Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 71c | 62.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?this page
- Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
- Over $1M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
- Over $750k pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.