Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa240a02f42cd717db5072e26a92b0711a04a6d464a2754cefe5e0e2b32326867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof Long Beach State Beach, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 1,683$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 68c | 1,642$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 65c | 1,221$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 72c | 1,163$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 27c | 1,149$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 1,059$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.65 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Long Beach State Beach | 8c | 780$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 770.79$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 680$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 573.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Davis Aggies | 77c | 514.52$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UC Davis Aggies | 68c | 339.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked UC Davis Aggies | 72c | 286$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 233$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 223.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed UC Davis Aggies | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 148.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 66c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 74c | 120.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 109.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UC Davis Aggies | 66c | 94.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed UC Davis Aggies | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 70.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Long Beach State Beach | 30c | 59.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UC Davis Aggies | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Davis Aggies | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 76c | 48.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 43.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…9443backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 37.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 31.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UC Davis Aggies | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed UC Davis Aggies | 72c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.