NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf116506e96febc9bb003d5c27f1982dc4f6d353f99f0355196013f7f0191517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Torpedo | 31c | 719$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 567.16$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Torpedo | 34c | 264.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 68c | 165.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 162.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 13c | 143.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Torpedo | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Torpedo | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed Torpedo | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed Torpedo | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…5ee0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…25debacked Torpedo | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…cfe1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…443ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.