Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9eaadb2b6011860e14fb7d1e4c77a645f9a5de9cfeaa507b4b194b31a266a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Chicago State Cougars, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 4,147$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.92 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 35c | 3,807$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 2,262$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.1 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 1,326$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago State Cougars | 28c | 1,308$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 70c | 1,160$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 810$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 701.43$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 61c | 656.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 6c | 633$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 581.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars | 9c | 554.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 536.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 73c | 525.33$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 364.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 362.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 73c | 348.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 327.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 23c | 317.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 78c | 263.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…ff35backed Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 37c | 215.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 201.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars | 27c | 194.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 72c | 134.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 133.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 128.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago State Cougars | 17c | 119.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 79c | 108.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 91.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago State Cougars | 27c | 90.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 75c | 78.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 69.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 75c | 56.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 53.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 47.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Chicago State Cougars | 33c | 46.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 40.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 70c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 79c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 70c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 144.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-6.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-7.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.