Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d11c467ca37284cda24ed132f43539f8c02f98ccbd886f5077b44e0b29906c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern State Demonsof Southeastern Louisiana Lions, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 64c | 3,534$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 44c | 1,849$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 55c | 1,032$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 1,010$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 25c | 584$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 34c | 575.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 39c | 541.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern State Demons | 43c | 429.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 418.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 34c | 404$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 34c | 393.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 35c | 390.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 52c | 326.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 284$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 48c | 253.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 49c | 199.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 49c | 183.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 46c | 167.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 68c | 156.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 43c | 115$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern State Demons | 58c | 111.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Northwestern State Demons | 53c | 107.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 56c | 96.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 93.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 39c | 91.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern State Demons | 60c | 57.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northwestern State Demons | 27c | 56.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 50c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 50.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Northwestern State Demons | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 46.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern State Demons | 37c | 44.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Northwestern State Demons | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…1193backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Northwestern State Demonsthis page
- Spread: Northwestern State Demons (-1.5)Northwestern State Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.