TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

IEM Dallas: Vitality vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47b1…1306backed Vitality72c9,760$6,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf516…901abacked Falcons31c4,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Falcons26c4,473$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.9916357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Falcons28c4,092$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.731,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Falcons21c2,393$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.971910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889d…19bcbacked Vitality73c2,055$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Vitality79c2,050$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0811949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Falcons28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56016033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Vitality74c1,950$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.474369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2174…6de5backed Falcons29c1,817$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Vitality73c1,317$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Falcons30c1,269$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.928944.9%40 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Vitality75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3913146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Vitality75c1,125$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.654862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c5…866bbacked Vitality71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc349…754fbacked Falcons29c990$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Falcons29c968$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.881040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…54c8backed Vitality74c947.07$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.073452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Falcons27c888$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3210933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons34c888$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Vitality68c851.99$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.644537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Falcons33c771.85$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25858961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Falcons35c750.78$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.443237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc3…b266backed Falcons23c654.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Falcons35c618.96$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Vitality66c600$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Falcons26c588.66$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1510348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfad4…9d23backed Vitality71c575$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Vitality73c559.73$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.684250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Vitality71c500$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1434351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Falcons14c450$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.55326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…b5d6backed Vitality78c446.24$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e2…91ecbacked Falcons29c430$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…55c4backed Falcons40c350.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality72c350.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4149…adf7backed Falcons28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Vitality71c349.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.198155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Falcons5c304.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Falcons28c271$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8811654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8761…7936backed Falcons28c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa06a…2aa7backed Falcons30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x136c…333ebacked Falcons29c240$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf007…8695backed Falcons29c240$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Falcons30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Falcons28c227.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.381921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…6437backed Vitality71c205$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Falcons27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5456738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Falcons28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.517847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…e83bbacked Falcons29c185$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality66c180$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.263345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Falcons29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Falcons29c168.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7b…892dbacked Vitality73c165.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567f…7a1dbacked Vitality71c155$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Vitality65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d42…9b05backed Vitality71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb54…6e4bbacked Vitality71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8660…fad0backed Falcons29c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x063b…7d47backed Vitality73c137.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.192972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…8dd0backed Falcons13c130.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9717243%74 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Vitality74c126.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1214555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6328…1375backed Falcons44c121.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Falcons10c121$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3a…02bfbacked Falcons29c115$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a68…57bfbacked Falcons30c115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Vitality71c112.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3831758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Vitality70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Vitality71c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Falcons25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Vitality66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3424943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4409…bc0bbacked Falcons28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Falcons27c99.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.961915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8f…df31backed Vitality72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.223366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c8…f919backed Vitality77c84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Falcons28c79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1212328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Vitality73c68.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.686850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Falcons29c62.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.048737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f33…b313backed Vitality71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x243b…a150backed Vitality72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Vitality71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26bb…6f44backed Vitality72c47.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.229100%9 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Falcons39c42.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5694…15dabacked Vitality78c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Vitality73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db4…d97fbacked Vitality71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…4f9dbacked Vitality76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ead…d118backed Vitality69c18.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Vitality72c14.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c15…1ee4backed Vitality73c14.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.