MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9606f795d6c7e5cc3d89b2914a159d25d2e22f47834f1a809b5f6564fd0340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mariners, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Mets | 49c | 204,333$100,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,288.84 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Mariners | 51c | 140,657$71,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,735.09 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 51c | 33,519$17,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,094.66 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mets | 49c | 28,058$13,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,278.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 64c | 15,683$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,597.21 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 52c | 14,426$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,501.51 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mariners | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 47c | 6,205$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.62 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 50c | 6,021$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mariners | 48c | 4,861$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.04 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 52c | 4,648$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 40c | 4,447$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mariners | 54c | 4,360$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.4 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 33c | 4,278$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.25 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 58c | 4,230$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.68 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Mariners | 52c | 3,995$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 64c | 3,289$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mariners | 23c | 2,610$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 76c | 2,310$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.62 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Mariners | 33c | 2,275$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 48c | 2,231$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mariners | 51c | 2,175$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Mariners | 40c | 2,057$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.45 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 52c | 1,980$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.21 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mets | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 53c | 1,406$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.18 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Mariners | 31c | 1,333$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 51c | 1,112$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 25c | 1,031$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mariners | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mariners | 48c | 1,018$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mets | 50c | 995.77$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mets | 66c | 950.79$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 66c | 909.66$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mariners | 54c | 651.87$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 52c | 576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mets | 49c | 571.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Mariners | 49c | 549.18$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 38c | 532.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Mariners | 55c | 523.64$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 53c | 500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mariners | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Mariners | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 51c | 499.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mariners | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners | 15c | 459$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Mets | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Mariners | 53c | 427.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 48c | 402.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Mariners | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 41c | 360.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 45c | 350$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Mariners | 50c | 333.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Mets | 66c | 323.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mariners | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 52c | 298.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 10c | 274.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners | 37c | 266.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 42c | 238.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 52c | 233.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Mets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 48c | 212.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.