NFL · resolved market
Will the Jaguars hire Liam Cohen as their next head coach?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b3b351f51538165c0cd6be4f2241cf748e1bb35c5860c49b760a9fe79f23de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 11,370$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,086$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 3c | 666.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.65 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 498.82$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 465$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 23c | 425.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.98 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 57c | 366.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 3c | 339$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +404.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 64c | 217.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 5c | 202.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 199.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 76c | 136$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 80c | 119.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 54c | 108.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…a958backed No | 60c | 64.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…fcecbacked Yes | 43c | 54.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 48c | 54.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…e991backed Yes | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…89a2backed No | 58c | 23.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…63cdbacked No | 59c | 23.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7680…cbb6backed No | 59c | 22.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jaguars hire Liam Cohen as their next head coach?this page
- Will the Jaguars hire Aaron Glenn as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Jaguars hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Jaguars hire Brian Flores as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Jaguars hire Joe Brady as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Jaguars hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Jaguars hire Todd Monken as their next head coach?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.