Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d26e3da228de67ee48ac33e93bd9071f800fb53e0479fc77d6d4f0c1a9cb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 21,729$11,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,848.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 7,421$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Heretics | 1c | 6,994$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 6,499$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 6,380$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.96 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Team Heretics | 51c | 4,841$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.86 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,484$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.82 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,458$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.56 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Team Heretics | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,237$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.55 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Team Heretics | 5c | 3,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Heretics | 49c | 2,163$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.07 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,106$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.4 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Team Heretics | 46c | 2,078$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.88 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Heretics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Team Heretics | 46c | 1,945$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,911$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.44 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…0d4cbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,874$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 1,653$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.38 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,647$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.64 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,638$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.16 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Team Heretics | 12c | 1,555$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,341$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.41 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,195$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.47 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…7cfebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,158$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 46c | 1,073$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Heretics | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Heretics | 22c | 1,042$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,031$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 909.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.8 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 899.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 852.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.9 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 851.52$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 846.3$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.3 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Team Heretics | 7c | 799.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Heretics | 46c | 749.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 729.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Heretics | 11c | 696.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Heretics | 29c | 679.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Heretics | 43c | 647.34$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 636.9$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 547.94$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 543.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Heretics | 46c | 539$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 536.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 48c | 536.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Heretics | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 476$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 416.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 406.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Team Heretics | 4c | 404$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 398.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…a781backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 379.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Heretics | 34c | 377.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Team Heretics | 6c | 361.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 339.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 328.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…0587backed Team Heretics | 52c | 318.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Heretics | 29c | 312.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 309.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 287.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 268.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team Heretics | 46c | 258.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 221.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Team Heretics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Heretics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Team Heretics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Team Heretics | 49c | 204.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Heretics | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 196.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 193.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 190.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team Heretics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…9a82backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 186.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 180$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…2d97backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 165.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 136.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Team Heretics | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…4857backed Team Heretics | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc56…cccebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Team Heretics | 45c | 116.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 111.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…2429backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 110.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 108.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.