CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fff240e644ecbf201c0b0baeee099f06ae848ba2202dd492fa80e44d8ddf0a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 4,593$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.57 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 4,429$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.94 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 37c | 4,035$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.12 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked M80 | 49c | 4,000$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.55 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 3,716$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.04 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed M80 | 42c | 3,492$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked M80 | 42c | 2,751$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.55 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed M80 | 42c | 2,007$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.14 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed M80 | 48c | 1,633$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.4 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed M80 | 36c | 1,630$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.01 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,183$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.7 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed M80 | 34c | 1,182$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked M80 | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,047$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed M80 | 38c | 1,010$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.8 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,004$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.41 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 41c | 999.98$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed M80 | 25c | 935$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 900$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 795$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed M80 | 41c | 750$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.25 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 743.07$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.42 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 736.96$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 733.32$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed M80 | 27c | 680.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.51 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 640.72$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.49 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked M80 | 41c | 600$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 571.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed M80 | 51c | 501.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed M80 | 31c | 488.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.28 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed M80 | 32c | 460$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.4 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked M80 | 49c | 439.08$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 433.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed M80 | 46c | 398.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed M80 | 34c | 373.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 328.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 328.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed M80 | 28c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked M80 | 39c | 296.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 265.96$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 250.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 219.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed M80 | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 173.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed M80 | 27c | 169$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 156.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 143.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 137.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 124.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 122.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 119.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 105.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed M80 | 41c | 74.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 71.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked M80 | 45c | 61.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 57.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 55.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 53.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 48.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked M80 | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 42.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked M80 | 59c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed M80 | 61c | 40.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked M80 | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 38.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked M80 | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 25.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…f8e6backed M80 | 69c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.