CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: ECSTATIC vs. fnatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76c55ac1039bcf31ddbe080a5ab7f49c38d26e251baeed4eee9366d41f2216e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof ECSTATIC, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed fnatic | 53c | 2,176$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.76 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 1,805$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.47 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 1,750$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 1,385$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed ECSTATIC | 13c | 1,110$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed fnatic | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked ECSTATIC | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed fnatic | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed fnatic | 55c | 732.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.74 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked fnatic | 52c | 662.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.77 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed fnatic | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked fnatic | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ECSTATIC | 46c | 543.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked fnatic | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed fnatic | 78c | 515$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked fnatic | 55c | 482$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ed25backed ECSTATIC | 47c | 431.7$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed fnatic | 77c | 390$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked ECSTATIC | 18c | 385.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked fnatic | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked fnatic | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 308$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked ECSTATIC | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked ECSTATIC | 22c | 259.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed fnatic | 57c | 236.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed ECSTATIC | 19c | 230$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 221.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked fnatic | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed ECSTATIC | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 161.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed fnatic | 70c | 143.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed fnatic | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed ECSTATIC | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked ECSTATIC | 32c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 105.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked ECSTATIC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked ECSTATIC | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed fnatic | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed fnatic | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed ECSTATIC | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed fnatic | 79c | 55.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed ECSTATIC | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed fnatic | 77c | 49.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed ECSTATIC | 30c | 44.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked fnatic | 55c | 39.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed fnatic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed fnatic | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked fnatic | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.