CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: Liquid vs. Spirit
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x948f820d9fa5bb5518d2d55f82dad6b7607890fea461b12c12bbed0885d31069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Liquid, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid | 16c | 13,111$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.76 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Liquid | 15c | 6,895$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.63 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Liquid | 17c | 3,135$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Liquid | 17c | 2,986$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Liquid | 17c | 2,566$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.18 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Liquid | 11c | 2,106$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Liquid | 23c | 2,073$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.81 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 11c | 1,854$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Liquid | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Liquid | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Liquid | 17c | 877.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Liquid | 18c | 854.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Liquid | 15c | 839.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 77c | 786.58$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Liquid | 44c | 685.75$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Spirit | 56c | 610.75$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.73 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed Liquid | 18c | 506.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Liquid | 13c | 487$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 16c | 432.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Liquid | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Liquid | 22c | 319.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Liquid | 16c | 319.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Liquid | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Spirit | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Spirit | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed Liquid | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Liquid | 13c | 159.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Liquid | 16c | 154.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2bfbbacked Liquid | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Spirit | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Spirit | 80c | 123.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Liquid | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Liquid | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Liquid | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Liquid | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Spirit | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Liquid | 23c | 51.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Spirit | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Spirit | 79c | 44.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Spirit | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.