CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. GamerLegion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef8b6c9c0c869fbee84e06ab3a2b592d3004eb60bcde83e90986a0aacc0471e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 15c | 5,298$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.66 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked GamerLegion | 16c | 3,775$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GamerLegion | 12c | 2,913$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Vitality | 77c | 2,899$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.08 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…8a19backed GamerLegion | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed GamerLegion | 15c | 1,317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed GamerLegion | 15c | 1,161$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed GamerLegion | 22c | 1,049$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed GamerLegion | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Vitality | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked GamerLegion | 12c | 860.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed GamerLegion | 21c | 805.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Vitality | 76c | 719.25$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed GamerLegion | 18c | 684.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed GamerLegion | 16c | 625.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed GamerLegion | 27c | 602.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked GamerLegion | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 533.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked GamerLegion | 28c | 502.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed GamerLegion | 13c | 449.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Vitality | 73c | 408.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed GamerLegion | 11c | 370$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed GamerLegion | 17c | 311.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed Vitality | 67c | 297.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed GamerLegion | 27c | 251.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed GamerLegion | 23c | 227.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed GamerLegion | 8c | 215.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality | 78c | 207.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed GamerLegion | 16c | 183.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked GamerLegion | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Vitality | 73c | 157.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed GamerLegion | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 27c | 100.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…4e23backed GamerLegion | 21c | 93.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Vitality | 73c | 70.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked GamerLegion | 21c | 61.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Vitality | 77c | 58.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed Vitality | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Vitality | 72c | 22.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.