Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3096b4eeecbbd221bbb265c525fd6922ab6d788b9b1cb4c168aa3949513c8ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 60c | 3,608$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,366$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.95 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…79b5backed Yes | 67c | 299.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 38c | 125.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 106.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked No | 55c | 90.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 79.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 45c | 33.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 63c | 20.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.