South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90eca7b4af5bc86cfda11a6c83f8a58370fe85910874057479bb3a37ca57ddd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 55c | 5,781$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 46c | 3,570$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.69 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 2,097$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.17 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 53c | 1,795$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.17 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,079$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.09 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 645$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 599.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 535.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.62 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Yes | 78c | 304.29$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 38c | 211.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 45c | 164.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 35c | 109.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 52c | 106.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 40c | 49.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 49.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…1510backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…c34bbacked Yes | 59c | 22.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.