South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18fe0799eaefd2c849407a85db38532ea9e5379dd9e913d5d49a8217a360f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 6,196$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.11 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 3,796$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.16 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 66c | 1,860$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.47 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,825$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,334$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.49 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 1,270$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 44c | 924.16$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.15 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 692.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.81 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 30c | 533$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 372.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 359.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 245.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 190.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 44c | 187.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 176.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 20c | 147$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 60c | 128.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 21c | 104.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 98.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 63c | 84.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 77.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 36c | 54.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed No | 60c | 44.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 46c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-20?this page
- Will Club Tijuana vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.