Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c86d8e4db27fc02ccd29b83d8224a17b1834f815d6eb18d5608a872aadf02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 18,108$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 61c | 9,056$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,524.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 6,562$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.82 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 3,165$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 62c | 755.23$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.13 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 41c | 737.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 33c | 702.25$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.53 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 617.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 468.78$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.08 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 458.92$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 79c | 314.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 66c | 175$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 168$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 10c | 136.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 39c | 134.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 95.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 65c | 85.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 55.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 63c | 51.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 66c | 46.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 67c | 24.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 61c | 22.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 69c | 18.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.