Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fca274a6b71e6166cd3e8bf0d986585ef252dbd7a4ad46eb303774e2606664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 10,212$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,125$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,218$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.82 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,003$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 281$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…b5a8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 198$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 148.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.