Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a9b448e4f7742ebe7102bb985133c9073d670af8976644964b6d2b87f9489c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 25c | 5,312$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.2 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 3,487$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,095$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.82 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 2,879$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,301$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.35 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 684.17$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 22c | 419.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.58 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 38c | 262.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 18c | 162.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 41c | 161.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 35c | 143.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 16c | 134.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 17c | 131.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 125.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 24c | 125.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 58c | 106.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 39c | 105.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 20c | 96.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 18c | 92.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 72.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 16c | 65.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 73c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 56c | 32.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…1eccbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 80c | 13.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.