Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee957eef1990cf7d8c2cabd1039bc58f1454d47d860a73762137a9cf4ea1e15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Khachanov, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed Khachanov | 60c | 7,847$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen | 22c | 5,665$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Michelsen | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 43c | 4,778$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Khachanov | 60c | 4,176$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.39 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Michelsen | 51c | 3,020$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.05 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Michelsen | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Michelsen | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Michelsen | 48c | 2,391$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Khachanov | 61c | 2,177$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.05 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michelsen | 41c | 1,858$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.45 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 40c | 1,658$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Khachanov | 63c | 1,504$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.97 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Khachanov | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Khachanov | 61c | 1,459$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.02 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Khachanov | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michelsen | 18c | 1,027$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Michelsen | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michelsen | 39c | 891.56$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Khachanov | 53c | 660$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Michelsen | 46c | 659.6$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.79 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michelsen | 36c | 583.14$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Khachanov | 54c | 532.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Michelsen | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Khachanov | 64c | 448.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Khachanov | 67c | 422.29$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…f667backed Michelsen | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michelsen | 22c | 397.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Michelsen | 44c | 310.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michelsen | 11c | 305$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Michelsen | 46c | 272.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Khachanov | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Khachanov | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Michelsen | 22c | 214.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Michelsen | 42c | 201.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Michelsen | 39c | 189.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Michelsen | 49c | 182.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Michelsen | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Michelsen | 20c | 165.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Michelsen | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michelsen | 40c | 145.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Khachanov | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Khachanov | 78c | 122$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Michelsen | 50c | 115.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Khachanov | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Michelsen | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Khachanov | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Khachanov | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Michelsen | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Michelsen | 43c | 97.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Khachanov | 59c | 88.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Khachanov | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Michelsen | 37c | 85.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Michelsen | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Khachanov | 61c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Khachanov | 61c | 76.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…d6d2backed Michelsen | 40c | 75.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Michelsen | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Khachanov | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Michelsen | 40c | 63.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Michelsen | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed Khachanov | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Michelsen | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Khachanov | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Michelsen | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Khachanov | 57c | 48.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Michelsen | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Michelsen | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Michelsen | 62c | 47.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Khachanov | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Khachanov | 60c | 41.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Michelsen | 45c | 41.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Khachanov | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Michelsen | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Michelsen | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Khachanov | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Khachanov | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed Khachanov | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Khachanov | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Michelsen | 47c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…bcf5backed Michelsen | 40c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Khachanov | 59c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Khachanov | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed Michelsen | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…6b0abacked Michelsen | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…75cabacked Michelsen | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Khachanov | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…6bd1backed Khachanov | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Khachanov vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Khachanov vs. Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.