Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e53785ac4a717234e6137f93d50f07bf24e6c1aca8aac2dfa0ded23700cee8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 5,601$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 28c | 2,700$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 950$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 28c | 690.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 72c | 516.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.22 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 27c | 310$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 72c | 165$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 72c | 164.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 130.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 28c | 107.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 72c | 95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 63c | 90.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 72c | 84.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 35c | 77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Over | 28c | 67.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 76c | 30.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…edbabacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Under | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 78c | 15.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.