Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017c0f35bd287b0e003cc093503ee579aa39692442884265966a78ea88a620c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Burnley FC, Millwall FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Millwall FC | 44c | 10,000$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.79 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 29c | 6,251$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burnley FC | 29c | 3,885$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Millwall FC | 68c | 1,945$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.52 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Burnley FC | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Burnley FC | 50c | 1,500$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Burnley FC | 72c | 1,307$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Millwall FC | 9c | 1,151$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Millwall FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Millwall FC | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Burnley FC | 31c | 338.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Millwall FC | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Burnley FC | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Millwall FC | 71c | 210$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 210$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Millwall FC | 71c | 210$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Millwall FC | 71c | 165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Millwall FC | 71c | 165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Millwall FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Millwall FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Millwall FC | 71c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Millwall FC | 69c | 91.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Millwall FC | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Millwall FC | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Millwall FC | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Millwall FC | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Millwall FC | 63c | 83.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Burnley FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Millwall FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Millwall FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Millwall FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Burnley FC | 31c | 64.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Millwall FC | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Millwall FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Millwall FC | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Millwall FC | 74c | 54.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Millwall FC | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Millwall FC | 74c | 41.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Millwall FC | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Millwall FC | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Millwall FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Millwall FC | 74c | 25.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Millwall FC | 72c | 19.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.