CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8038747ac11431ef1a447285cd28092a847a51f2d5ca6c17dfea0dda6a6a858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof illwill, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…f510backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 3,382$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 24c | 2,370$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 1,608$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.3 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 949.72$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.3 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 866.12$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed illwill | 57c | 821.57$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.24 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill | 17c | 794.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 708.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed illwill | 64c | 707.4$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.53 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 662.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed illwill | 61c | 645.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.16 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked illwill | 23c | 565.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 22c | 550.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 522.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.29 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed illwill | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked illwill | 39c | 447.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed illwill | 56c | 361.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 345.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked illwill | 35c | 275.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 275$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 261.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 255$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked illwill | 28c | 214.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked illwill | 58c | 209.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed illwill | 42c | 201$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed illwill | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill | 59c | 196.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 196$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…9a03backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 192.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed illwill | 29c | 182.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 182.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 172.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 160.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 155$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 147.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked illwill | 77c | 129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 113.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked illwill | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed illwill | 29c | 91.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 70.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked illwill | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 59.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed illwill | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed illwill | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed illwill | 66c | 53.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 49.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed illwill | 37c | 46.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 46.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked illwill | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 40.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed illwill | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 30.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 27.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked illwill | 49c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed illwill | 46c | 23.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…e834backed illwill | 74c | 16.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.