CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5a654a92e8ffbc62ba6130fc04fb9a1c003915287ab4c41e4211c71300c890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…f510backed RUSTEC | 40c | 1,078$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,011$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 25c | 602.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 547$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC | 46c | 535.04$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC | 19c | 396.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed RUSTEC | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 320.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC | 14c | 318$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked RUSTEC | 16c | 307.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RUSTEC | 42c | 302.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 284$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 47c | 273.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked RUSTEC | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed RUSTEC | 43c | 251$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 216.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC | 22c | 186$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 185.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 165.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 163.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC | 18c | 124$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 97.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed RUSTEC | 27c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 81.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed RUSTEC | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked RUSTEC | 45c | 66.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 50.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 46.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 36.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 34.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed RUSTEC | 42c | 33.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed RUSTEC | 43c | 30.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RUSTEC | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RUSTEC | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs RUSTEC (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.