TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed DN SOOPers62c53,052$32,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,761.6514247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Nongshim Red Force38c46,778$17,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,002.3651146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers61c26,987$16,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,476.051,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim Red Force39c20,293$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,378.7357546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers62c12,000$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,44059750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim Red Force38c7,777$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.7453750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Nongshim Red Force42c7,777$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.6451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Nongshim Red Force38c6,363$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.1613831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed DN SOOPers62c4,098$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.11,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Nongshim Red Force39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44021154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked DN SOOPers61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers62c3,485$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.661,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked DN SOOPers60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Nongshim Red Force40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80061645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked DN SOOPers59c2,967$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.887030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Nongshim Red Force38c2,660$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.23732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked DN SOOPers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1607042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Nongshim Red Force40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Nongshim Red Force46c1,786$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.142940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Nongshim Red Force38c1,595$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.2915146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Nongshim Red Force62c1,467$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.444047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Nongshim Red Force38c1,387$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.0756432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Nongshim Red Force39c1,364$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.477248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Nongshim Red Force38c1,188$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.4466942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers62c1,122$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70086144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Nongshim Red Force37c1,086$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9352750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed DN SOOPers58c1,005$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.781225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed DN SOOPers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed DN SOOPers62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked DN SOOPers62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6208652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Nongshim Red Force39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003b…ace5backed DN SOOPers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…f510backed DN SOOPers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Nongshim Red Force51c900$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.424656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed DN SOOPers62c850$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52737647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Nongshim Red Force38c780.8$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.812451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Nongshim Red Force38c734.21$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2137640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim Red Force39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4272,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Nongshim Red Force38c599.88$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.936538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Nongshim Red Force38c578.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.9528852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Nongshim Red Force38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed DN SOOPers51c477.12$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1639859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked DN SOOPers35c461.93$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6820339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Nongshim Red Force39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24479653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed Nongshim Red Force39c397.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.447335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Nongshim Red Force39c355.9$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.12934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked DN SOOPers60c305$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18320348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Nongshim Red Force40c289.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6712647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed DN SOOPers61c272.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8912927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Nongshim Red Force38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1618849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Nongshim Red Force38c253.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.443745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim Red Force65c251.88$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.261,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nongshim Red Force40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Nongshim Red Force40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Nongshim Red Force38c239$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1844743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Nongshim Red Force38c219.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.391,11748.8%545 W · 572 L+40.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim Red Force39c203.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.271,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Nongshim Red Force66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nongshim Red Force41c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Nongshim Red Force61c199.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Nongshim Red Force39c187.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.154461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN SOOPers49c181.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers37c178.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked DN SOOPers62c159.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.661256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Nongshim Red Force38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.892343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed DN SOOPers63c143.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Nongshim Red Force53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.821256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Nongshim Red Force38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5876246.9%357 W · 405 L+2.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Nongshim Red Force56c127.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.999857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked DN SOOPers63c127.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Red Force39c111$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.922,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb722…1098backed Nongshim Red Force48c110.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.652326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Nongshim Red Force40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Nongshim Red Force38c109.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1935045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Nongshim Red Force64c109.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.544046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed DN SOOPers36c101.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5435054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Nongshim Red Force40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Nongshim Red Force39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.991,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed DN SOOPers63c86.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5732050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DN SOOPers35c83.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.291,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Nongshim Red Force38c82.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Nongshim Red Force41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.258437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed DN SOOPers21c75.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x615a…8af2backed Nongshim Red Force39c74.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.364459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Nongshim Red Force38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.225151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nongshim Red Force50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Nongshim Red Force40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.221859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Nongshim Red Force38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6334565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1591…9bc9backed DN SOOPers63c52.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed DN SOOPers58c51.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked Nongshim Red Force38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed DN SOOPers63c49.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1913254.5%72 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Nongshim Red Force48c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2439154.2%212 W · 179 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed DN SOOPers63c41.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed DN SOOPers56c40.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5148742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Nongshim Red Force40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed DN SOOPers62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2ae…aa0fbacked DN SOOPers63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252763%17 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Nongshim Red Force40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.532350.8%164 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nongshim Red Force38c37.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1260849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.