Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61529817e1f1763664c7b732e7972944a510227c75e490df88cc25c756b9ae1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 9,288$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.48 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 46c | 8,970$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125.5 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 1,401$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.43 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 1,028$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.22 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 600.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.06 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 56c | 391.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 48c | 376.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 46c | 274.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 544 | 29.6%161 W · 383 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 32c | 235.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 46c | 211.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 197.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1,206 | 43.5%525 W · 681 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 33c | 141.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 67c | 122.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 48c | 101.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 66c | 81.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 47c | 48.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 37.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…db71backed Over | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 54c | 33.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 37c | 31.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 28.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 28.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…a6d6backed Under | 55c | 23.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,397 | 43.7%611 W · 786 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.