Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a282ea6bf2786e53e535dd29e6ab9525633f8d3ee2338568a7eba80aa51fa69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 3,400$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.19 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,459$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.74 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 384.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 46c | 372$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 55c | 360.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 283.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 54c | 184.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 55c | 182.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 169.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 46c | 129.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 54c | 94.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 45c | 77.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 72.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 64.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 57.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 48.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 49c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed No | 50c | 28.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 49c | 24.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.