Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696c4cd1d0f9a69757927b841f010be0dfd15dce2ee785ce67cbe44b8c06c236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,439$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,043$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 749.17$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.62 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 32c | 617.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 77c | 558$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 421.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 79c | 265$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 224.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 72c | 193.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 26c | 189.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 55c | 182.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 117.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 52c | 116.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 48c | 100.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 20c | 88.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 81.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 48c | 79.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 75.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 73.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…6d56backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 56c | 44.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 49c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 47c | 38.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 53c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 44c | 29.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 74c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 53c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.