Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149fbbf6384603f1ed421f216ef94fee7150bc40e83c39df4dbbaa00c9042f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,443$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 76c | 1,249$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,190$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 24c | 810.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 24c | 491.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 482$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yes | 15c | 316.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 17c | 290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 259.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 250.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 217.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…b917backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 143.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 125.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…7108backed Yes | 18c | 111.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 18c | 54.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 49.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.