Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8ba25a4bc03e62ddb0d2cdb6933cd77d10c0185b4219c67cc93c5350bbb2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 6,688$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,578$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 26c | 2,691$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,642$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 2,207$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,792$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 1,416$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,297$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 72c | 1,161$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,036$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 995.39$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 2c | 959.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 5c | 930.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 75c | 700$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 641.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 28c | 467.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 284.54$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 27c | 265.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…be08backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…b917backed Yes | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 222.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 220.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 219.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Yes | 8c | 201.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 151.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 29c | 141.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 126.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 26c | 107.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 14c | 104.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked No | 72c | 67.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 23c | 61.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 73c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.