Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114f886854f28edb2269407ab45f0e6c5ec4e82ec6e3dbea27a7d7135e76bd45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, GAM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Secret Whales | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked GAM Esports | 46c | 4,469$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.57 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed GAM Esports | 45c | 3,666$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.78 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked GAM Esports | 47c | 2,781$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.89 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Secret Whales | 55c | 2,339$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.51 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Secret Whales | 56c | 2,013$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed GAM Esports | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Team Secret Whales | 55c | 994$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Team Secret Whales | 53c | 937$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked GAM Esports | 44c | 631.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Team Secret Whales | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Secret Whales | 53c | 350.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed GAM Esports | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Secret Whales | 53c | 299.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Secret Whales | 54c | 297.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GAM Esports | 47c | 258.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Secret Whales | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked GAM Esports | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 181.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Secret Whales | 54c | 151.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed GAM Esports | 47c | 142.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked GAM Esports | 46c | 141.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Team Secret Whales | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Team Secret Whales | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GAM Esports | 48c | 95.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GAM Esports | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed GAM Esports | 47c | 76.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Secret Whales | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed GAM Esports | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed GAM Esports | 45c | 59.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked GAM Esports | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team Secret Whales | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Team Secret Whales | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Team Secret Whales | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked GAM Esports | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Secret Whales | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed GAM Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed GAM Esports | 47c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed GAM Esports | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GAM Esports | 47c | 21.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked GAM Esports | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.